Physics-Based Scenario of Earthquake Cycles on the Ventura Thrust System, California: The Effect of Variable Friction and Fault Geometry

Publication type

Journal Article

Research Area

Tectonics

Research Team

Structural Geology

Geographic Area

Americas > USA, Americas > USA > California

Abstract

The Ventura Thrust system in California is capable of producing large magnitude earthquakes. Geological studies suggest that the fault geometry is complex, composed of multiple segments at different dips: thrust ramps dipping 30°–50° linked with bed-parallel décollements dipping < 10°. these="" latter="" types="" of="" gently="" dipping="" faults="" form="" due="" to="" preexisting="" weaknesses="" in="" the="" crust,="" and="" therefore="" have="" different="" frictional="" parameters="" from="" thrust="" ramps;="" the="" faults="" also="" experience="" different="" stresses="" because="" of="" how="" stresses="" are="" resolved="" onto="" the="" fault="" planes.="" here,="" we="" use="" a="" two-dimensional="" fault="" model="" to="" assess="" how="" geometry="" and="" frictional="" properties="" of="" the="" ramp/décollement="" system="" should="" affect="" the="" seismic="" cycle.="" we="" test="" velocity-strengthening,="" velocity-weakening,="" and="" conditionally="" stable="" décollements,="" and="" in="" addition="" explore="" how="" the="" dip="" angle="" of="" the="" décollement="" changes="" the="" earthquake="" behavior.="" a="" velocity-strengthening="" décollement="" cannot="" replicate="" the="" through-going="" earthquake="" ruptures="" that="" have="" been="" inferred="" for="" the="" ventura="" fault="" system.="" we="" therefore="" suggest="" that="" this="" and="" other="" décollements="" may="" be="" better="" represented="" using="" a="" velocity-weakening="" or="" conditionally="" stable="" response.="" our="" results="" show="" that="" minor="" variations="" in="" fault="" geometry="" produce="" slip="" amounts="" and="" recurrence="" intervals="" that="" differ="" only="" by="" 10–20%,="" but="" do="" not="" fundamentally="" alter="" the="" types="" of="" earthquakes="" and="" interseismic="" slip.="" we="" conclude="" that="" geological="" constraints="" on="" fault="" geometry="" are="" typically="" sufficient="" to="" produce="" modeled="" earthquake="" sequences="" that="" are="" statistically="" consistent="" with="" paleoseismic="" records.="" however,="" both="" frictional="" parameters="" along="" the="" fault="" and="" effective="" normal="" stress="" influence="" earthquake="" rupture="" patterns="" significantly.="" more="" research="" is="" needed="" to="" adequately="" constrain="" these="" quantities="" in="" order="" for="" earthquake="" rupture="" models="" to="" work="" as="" effective="" predictors="" of="" fault="">

Publication Details

Journal

Pure and Applied Geophysics

Volume

176

Issue

9

Pagination

3993–4007

Date Published

02/2019

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